The effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration on the biological control of invasive aquatic weeds
- Baso, Nompumelelo C, Coetzee, Julie A, Ripley, Bradford S, Hill, Martin P
- Authors: Baso, Nompumelelo C , Coetzee, Julie A , Ripley, Bradford S , Hill, Martin P
- Date: 2021
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419423 , vital:71643 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquabot.2020.103348"
- Description: There has been a rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration, from pre-industrial values of 280 ppm to more than 400 ppm currently, and this is expected to double by the end of the 21st century. Studies have shown that plants grown at elevated CO2 concentrations have increased growth rates and invest more in carbon-based defences. This has important implications for the management of invasive alien plants, especially using biological control which is mostly dependent on herbivorous insects. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 on the biological control of four invasive aquatic weeds (Azolla filiculoides, Salvinia molesta, Pistia stratiotes and Myriophyllum aquaticum). These species are currently under successful control by their respective biological control agents (Stenopelmus rufinasus, Cyrtobagous salviniae, Neohydronomus affinis, and Lysathia sp.) in South Africa. The plant species were grown in a two factorial design experiment, where atmospheric CO2 concentrations were set at ambient (400 ppm) or elevated (800 ppm), and plants were either subjected to or not subjected to herbivory by their target biological control agents. There was an overall increase in biomass production and C:N across all species at elevated CO2, both in the absence and presence of biological control, although C:N of M. aquaticum and biomass of A. filiculoides with herbivory were not constant with this trend. Insect feeding damage was reduced by elevated CO2, except for S. molesta. Thus, we can expect that plants will respond differently to CO2 increase, but the general trend suggests that these species will become more challenging to manage through biological control in future.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021
- Authors: Baso, Nompumelelo C , Coetzee, Julie A , Ripley, Bradford S , Hill, Martin P
- Date: 2021
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419423 , vital:71643 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquabot.2020.103348"
- Description: There has been a rapid increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration, from pre-industrial values of 280 ppm to more than 400 ppm currently, and this is expected to double by the end of the 21st century. Studies have shown that plants grown at elevated CO2 concentrations have increased growth rates and invest more in carbon-based defences. This has important implications for the management of invasive alien plants, especially using biological control which is mostly dependent on herbivorous insects. The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 on the biological control of four invasive aquatic weeds (Azolla filiculoides, Salvinia molesta, Pistia stratiotes and Myriophyllum aquaticum). These species are currently under successful control by their respective biological control agents (Stenopelmus rufinasus, Cyrtobagous salviniae, Neohydronomus affinis, and Lysathia sp.) in South Africa. The plant species were grown in a two factorial design experiment, where atmospheric CO2 concentrations were set at ambient (400 ppm) or elevated (800 ppm), and plants were either subjected to or not subjected to herbivory by their target biological control agents. There was an overall increase in biomass production and C:N across all species at elevated CO2, both in the absence and presence of biological control, although C:N of M. aquaticum and biomass of A. filiculoides with herbivory were not constant with this trend. Insect feeding damage was reduced by elevated CO2, except for S. molesta. Thus, we can expect that plants will respond differently to CO2 increase, but the general trend suggests that these species will become more challenging to manage through biological control in future.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021
Biological and geophysical feedbacks with fire in the Earth System
- Archibald, S, Lehmann, C E, Belcher, C, Bond, W J, Bradstock, R A, Daniau, A L, Dexter, K, Forrestel, E J, Greve, M, He, T, Higgins, Simon I, Ripley, Bradford S
- Authors: Archibald, S , Lehmann, C E , Belcher, C , Bond, W J , Bradstock, R A , Daniau, A L , Dexter, K , Forrestel, E J , Greve, M , He, T , Higgins, Simon I , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: article , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/61413 , vital:28024 , http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9ead/meta
- Description: Roughly 3% of the Earth’s land surface burns annually, representing a critical exchange of energy and matter between the land and atmosphere via combustion. Fires range from slow smouldering peat fires, to low-intensity surface fires, to intense crown fires, depending on vegetation structure, fuel moisture, prevailing climate, and weather conditions. While the links between biogeochemistry, climate and fire are widely studied within Earth system science, these relationships are also mediated by fuels – namely plants and their litter – which are the product of evolutionary and ecological processes. Fire is a powerful selective force and, over their evolutionary history, plants across diverse clades have evolved numerous traits that either tolerate or promote fire. Here we outline a conceptual framework of how plant traits determine the flammability of ecosystems and interact with climate and weather to influence fire regimes. We explore how these evolutionary and ecological processes scale to impact biogeochemistry and Earth system processes. Finally, we outline several research challenges that, when resolved, will improve our understanding of the role of plant evolution in mediating the fire feedbacks driving Earth system processes. Understanding current patterns of fire and vegetation, as well as patterns of fire over geological time, requires research that incorporates evolutionary biology, ecology, biogeography, and the biogeosciences.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Archibald, S , Lehmann, C E , Belcher, C , Bond, W J , Bradstock, R A , Daniau, A L , Dexter, K , Forrestel, E J , Greve, M , He, T , Higgins, Simon I , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: article , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/61413 , vital:28024 , http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9ead/meta
- Description: Roughly 3% of the Earth’s land surface burns annually, representing a critical exchange of energy and matter between the land and atmosphere via combustion. Fires range from slow smouldering peat fires, to low-intensity surface fires, to intense crown fires, depending on vegetation structure, fuel moisture, prevailing climate, and weather conditions. While the links between biogeochemistry, climate and fire are widely studied within Earth system science, these relationships are also mediated by fuels – namely plants and their litter – which are the product of evolutionary and ecological processes. Fire is a powerful selective force and, over their evolutionary history, plants across diverse clades have evolved numerous traits that either tolerate or promote fire. Here we outline a conceptual framework of how plant traits determine the flammability of ecosystems and interact with climate and weather to influence fire regimes. We explore how these evolutionary and ecological processes scale to impact biogeochemistry and Earth system processes. Finally, we outline several research challenges that, when resolved, will improve our understanding of the role of plant evolution in mediating the fire feedbacks driving Earth system processes. Understanding current patterns of fire and vegetation, as well as patterns of fire over geological time, requires research that incorporates evolutionary biology, ecology, biogeography, and the biogeosciences.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
The effect of herbivory by the mite Orthogalumna terebrantis on the growth and photosynthetic performance of water hyacinth (Eichhornia crassipes)
- Marlin, Danica, Hill, Martin P, Ripley, Bradford S, Strauss, Abram J, Byrne, Marcus J
- Authors: Marlin, Danica , Hill, Martin P , Ripley, Bradford S , Strauss, Abram J , Byrne, Marcus J
- Date: 2013
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419411 , vital:71642 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquabot.2012.09.005"
- Description: Eutrophication of fresh water systems is one of the most important factors contributing to the invasion of fresh water bodies by water hyacinth, Eichhornia crassipes. The South American mite, Orthogalumna terebrantis, established on the weed in South Africa in the late 1980s, but the impact of mite herbivory on the weed has never been quantified. Water hyacinth was grown under low, medium and high nitrogen and phosphorus nutrient conditions and the effect of mite herbivory on the weed's growth was examined. Additionally, the impact of different mite herbivory intensities on the weed's photosynthetic performance was examined because herbivory may have more subtle effects on the plant than can be seen from changes in plant growth parameters. Water nutrient content had a great impact on plant growth, but growth was unaffected by mite herbivory in all levels of nutrients tested. Photosynthetic performance of water hyacinth leaves exposed to varying levels of mite herbivory was assessed by measuring net photosynthetic rate (A), leaf conductance (gl), transpiration rate (E) and intercellular CO2 concentration (Ci), and by measuring specific fluorescence parameters including maximal fluorescence (Fm), efficiency of photosystem II (Fv/Fm) and certain JIP-test parameters. Photosynthesis decreased as mite herbivory increased, but there was a positive correlation between gl, E and Ci, and the amount of leaf tissue damaged through mite feeding. The efficiency of photosystem II (PSII) decreased as mite herbivory increased, as seen in the altered fluorescence emission of mite-damaged plants, but this was not the consequence of decreased chlorophyll content. Feeding by O. terebrantis thus decreased water hyacinth photosynthetic rate and the light reaction performance, even at relatively low mite densities. These results show that the impact of a biological control agent on its host plant may not be obvious at a plant growth level, but may nonetheless affect the plant at a physiological level.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2013
- Authors: Marlin, Danica , Hill, Martin P , Ripley, Bradford S , Strauss, Abram J , Byrne, Marcus J
- Date: 2013
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419411 , vital:71642 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aquabot.2012.09.005"
- Description: Eutrophication of fresh water systems is one of the most important factors contributing to the invasion of fresh water bodies by water hyacinth, Eichhornia crassipes. The South American mite, Orthogalumna terebrantis, established on the weed in South Africa in the late 1980s, but the impact of mite herbivory on the weed has never been quantified. Water hyacinth was grown under low, medium and high nitrogen and phosphorus nutrient conditions and the effect of mite herbivory on the weed's growth was examined. Additionally, the impact of different mite herbivory intensities on the weed's photosynthetic performance was examined because herbivory may have more subtle effects on the plant than can be seen from changes in plant growth parameters. Water nutrient content had a great impact on plant growth, but growth was unaffected by mite herbivory in all levels of nutrients tested. Photosynthetic performance of water hyacinth leaves exposed to varying levels of mite herbivory was assessed by measuring net photosynthetic rate (A), leaf conductance (gl), transpiration rate (E) and intercellular CO2 concentration (Ci), and by measuring specific fluorescence parameters including maximal fluorescence (Fm), efficiency of photosystem II (Fv/Fm) and certain JIP-test parameters. Photosynthesis decreased as mite herbivory increased, but there was a positive correlation between gl, E and Ci, and the amount of leaf tissue damaged through mite feeding. The efficiency of photosystem II (PSII) decreased as mite herbivory increased, as seen in the altered fluorescence emission of mite-damaged plants, but this was not the consequence of decreased chlorophyll content. Feeding by O. terebrantis thus decreased water hyacinth photosynthetic rate and the light reaction performance, even at relatively low mite densities. These results show that the impact of a biological control agent on its host plant may not be obvious at a plant growth level, but may nonetheless affect the plant at a physiological level.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2013
Weevil borne microbes contribute as much to the reduction of photosynthesis in water hyacinth as does herbivory
- Venter, Nic, Hill, Martin P, Hutchinson, Sarah-Leigh, Ripley, Bradford S
- Authors: Venter, Nic , Hill, Martin P , Hutchinson, Sarah-Leigh , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2013
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/423573 , vital:72073 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2012.10.011"
- Description: Arthropods released for weed biocontrol can have effects other than simply removing biomass and frequently decrease photosynthetic rate more than can be attributed to the mere loss of photosynthetic surface area. Some of this effect may result because biological control agents facilitate the transfer and ingress of deleterious microbes into plant tissues on which they feed. We evaluated this facilitation effect using water hyacinth (Eichhornia crassipes) and a weevil (Neochetina eichhorniae) and compared the reductions in photosynthetic rates between leaves subject to herbivory by adult weevils sterilized with 3.5% chlorine bleach, to those that were unsterilized. The results showed that weevils carried both fungi and bacteria, transferred these to leaves on which they fed, and that microbes and biomass removal contributed almost equally to the 37% decrease in photosynthetic productivity. Hence, maximising the effectiveness of using arthropods that damage leaf surfaces for biocontrol requires the presence of microorganisms that are deleterious to plants.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2013
- Authors: Venter, Nic , Hill, Martin P , Hutchinson, Sarah-Leigh , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2013
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/423573 , vital:72073 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2012.10.011"
- Description: Arthropods released for weed biocontrol can have effects other than simply removing biomass and frequently decrease photosynthetic rate more than can be attributed to the mere loss of photosynthetic surface area. Some of this effect may result because biological control agents facilitate the transfer and ingress of deleterious microbes into plant tissues on which they feed. We evaluated this facilitation effect using water hyacinth (Eichhornia crassipes) and a weevil (Neochetina eichhorniae) and compared the reductions in photosynthetic rates between leaves subject to herbivory by adult weevils sterilized with 3.5% chlorine bleach, to those that were unsterilized. The results showed that weevils carried both fungi and bacteria, transferred these to leaves on which they fed, and that microbes and biomass removal contributed almost equally to the 37% decrease in photosynthetic productivity. Hence, maximising the effectiveness of using arthropods that damage leaf surfaces for biocontrol requires the presence of microorganisms that are deleterious to plants.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2013
Herbivory-induced reduction in photosynthetic productivity of water hyacinth, Eichhornia crassipes (Martius) Solms-Laubach (Pontederiaceae), is not directly related to reduction in photosynthetic leaf areas
- Ripley, Bradford S, deWet, L, Hill, Martin P
- Authors: Ripley, Bradford S , deWet, L , Hill, Martin P
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/451425 , vital:75048 , https://hdl.handle.net/10520/EJC32746
- Description: The purpose of this investigation was to determine whether the reduced photosynthetic productivity of water hyacinth plants subject to N. eichhorniae adult feeding was simply the result of reduced leaf area, or if more complex mechanisms were involved.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2008
- Authors: Ripley, Bradford S , deWet, L , Hill, Martin P
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/451425 , vital:75048 , https://hdl.handle.net/10520/EJC32746
- Description: The purpose of this investigation was to determine whether the reduced photosynthetic productivity of water hyacinth plants subject to N. eichhorniae adult feeding was simply the result of reduced leaf area, or if more complex mechanisms were involved.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2008
Pollination biology of Bergeranthus multiceps (Aizoaceae) with preliminary observations of repeated flower opening and closure
- Peter, Craig I, Dold, Anthony P, Barker, Nigel P, Ripley, Bradford S
- Authors: Peter, Craig I , Dold, Anthony P , Barker, Nigel P , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2004
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6529 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1005970
- Description: Little is known about pollination of the Aizoaceae (Mesembryanthemaceae). There are sparse reports of generalist pollination in the family by a variety of insects (predominantly bees). Furthermore, most species are self-incompatible in cultivation. In this study, observations were made on two populations of Bergeranthus multiceps (Salm-Dyck) Schwantes growing in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa. Insects visiting the flowers were collected and examined for pollen. While 79 individual insects (in 24 genera representing 14 families and four orders) were collected visiting the flowers, the majority (43 individuals) were female Allodapula variegata bees (Apidae, subfamily Xylocopinae, tribe Allodapini)collecting pollen. All other bee visitors were also female, suggesting pollen collection as the primary activity at the flowers. The protandrous flowers were found to be self-incompatible, pointing to the importance of bee-mediated xenogamy in this species. The flowers of B. multiceps are bright yellow in the human visual spectrum. In addition, the petals of this species reflect ultraviolet light. In contrast, the yellow anthers absorb UV. Flower opening and closing is common in the Aizoaceae. Interestingly, in B. multiceps flowers open at about 15:30 and remain open for approximately three hours before closing again in the late afternoon. These afternoon flower opening events were found to be closely correlated to ambient temperatures above 23°C, relative humidity lower than 50% and vapour pressure deficit below 1.05 kPa measured from as early as 09:00 on the days when flowers opened.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2004
- Authors: Peter, Craig I , Dold, Anthony P , Barker, Nigel P , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2004
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6529 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1005970
- Description: Little is known about pollination of the Aizoaceae (Mesembryanthemaceae). There are sparse reports of generalist pollination in the family by a variety of insects (predominantly bees). Furthermore, most species are self-incompatible in cultivation. In this study, observations were made on two populations of Bergeranthus multiceps (Salm-Dyck) Schwantes growing in the Eastern Cape province of South Africa. Insects visiting the flowers were collected and examined for pollen. While 79 individual insects (in 24 genera representing 14 families and four orders) were collected visiting the flowers, the majority (43 individuals) were female Allodapula variegata bees (Apidae, subfamily Xylocopinae, tribe Allodapini)collecting pollen. All other bee visitors were also female, suggesting pollen collection as the primary activity at the flowers. The protandrous flowers were found to be self-incompatible, pointing to the importance of bee-mediated xenogamy in this species. The flowers of B. multiceps are bright yellow in the human visual spectrum. In addition, the petals of this species reflect ultraviolet light. In contrast, the yellow anthers absorb UV. Flower opening and closing is common in the Aizoaceae. Interestingly, in B. multiceps flowers open at about 15:30 and remain open for approximately three hours before closing again in the late afternoon. These afternoon flower opening events were found to be closely correlated to ambient temperatures above 23°C, relative humidity lower than 50% and vapour pressure deficit below 1.05 kPa measured from as early as 09:00 on the days when flowers opened.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2004
Quantification of the photosynthetic performance of phosphorus-deficient Sorghum by means of chlorophyll-a fluorescence kinetics
- Ripley, Bradford S, Redfern, S P, Dames, Joanna F
- Authors: Ripley, Bradford S , Redfern, S P , Dames, Joanna F
- Date: 2004
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6456 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1004464
- Description: Chlorophyll fluorescence induction curves have been used as a sensitive tool for screening the photosynthetic performance of plants. Experimental treatments involving nitrate supply and chilling stress have been shown to affect fluorescence induction curves and other measures of photosynthesis. We have investigated the photosynthetic performance of Sorghum bicolor supplied with Long Ashton growth solution containing standard (20 μmol mol^(–1)) or low (5 μmol mol^(–1)) phosphorus. The JIP-test based on the chlorophyll fluorescence induction curve was used as a non-destructive method to measure the relative proportions of energy dissipated by different processes (termed energy fluxes) in the light reactions. The various energy fluxes or derived parameters were compared to find the measures that were most sensitive to the experimental conditions. Plant response to treatments was first evident in selected chlorophyll fluorescence parameters, particularly performance index (PI_ABS_); plants with increased PI_ABS_ manifested higher electron transport activity and dissipated less energy as heat, possibly as a result of their better phosphorus status, leading to more functional reaction centres. Observed changes in fluorescence were correlated to changes in gas exchange and biomass. Standard phosphorus treatments significantly increased biomass, leaf area, photosynthetic and respiratory rates, carboxylation efficiencies and levels of ribulose biphosphate regeneration rates, relative to plants with low supplies of nutrients.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2004
- Authors: Ripley, Bradford S , Redfern, S P , Dames, Joanna F
- Date: 2004
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6456 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1004464
- Description: Chlorophyll fluorescence induction curves have been used as a sensitive tool for screening the photosynthetic performance of plants. Experimental treatments involving nitrate supply and chilling stress have been shown to affect fluorescence induction curves and other measures of photosynthesis. We have investigated the photosynthetic performance of Sorghum bicolor supplied with Long Ashton growth solution containing standard (20 μmol mol^(–1)) or low (5 μmol mol^(–1)) phosphorus. The JIP-test based on the chlorophyll fluorescence induction curve was used as a non-destructive method to measure the relative proportions of energy dissipated by different processes (termed energy fluxes) in the light reactions. The various energy fluxes or derived parameters were compared to find the measures that were most sensitive to the experimental conditions. Plant response to treatments was first evident in selected chlorophyll fluorescence parameters, particularly performance index (PI_ABS_); plants with increased PI_ABS_ manifested higher electron transport activity and dissipated less energy as heat, possibly as a result of their better phosphorus status, leading to more functional reaction centres. Observed changes in fluorescence were correlated to changes in gas exchange and biomass. Standard phosphorus treatments significantly increased biomass, leaf area, photosynthetic and respiratory rates, carboxylation efficiencies and levels of ribulose biphosphate regeneration rates, relative to plants with low supplies of nutrients.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2004
Comparing models for predicting species' potential distributions : a case study using correlative and mechanistic predictive modelling techniques
- Robertson, Mark P, Peter, Craig I, Villet, Martin H, Ripley, Bradford S
- Authors: Robertson, Mark P , Peter, Craig I , Villet, Martin H , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2003
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6539 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1005980 , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3800(03)00028-0
- Description: Models used to predict species’ potential distributions have been described as either correlative or mechanistic. We attempted to determine whether correlative models could perform as well as mechanistic models for predicting species potential distributions, using a case study. We compared potential distribution predictions made for a coastal dune plant (Scaevola plumieri) along the coast of South Africa, using a mechanistic model based on summer water balance (SWB), and two correlative models (a profile and a group discrimination technique). The profile technique was based on principal components analysis (PCA) and the group-discrimination technique was based on multiple logistic regression (LR). Kappa (κ) statistics were used to objectively assess model performance and model agreement. Model performance was calculated by measuring the levels of agreement (using κ) between a set of testing localities (distribution records not used for model building) and each of the model predictions. Using published interpretive guidelines for the kappa statistic, model performance was “excellent” for the SWB model (κ=0.852), perfect for the LR model (κ=1.000), and “very good” for the PCA model (κ=0.721). Model agreement was calculated by measuring the level of agreement between the mechanistic model and the two correlative models. There was “good” model agreement between the SWB and PCA models (κ=0.679) and “very good” agreement between the SWB and LR models (κ=0.786). The results suggest that correlative models can perform as well as or better than simple mechanistic models. The predictions generated from these three modelling designs are likely to generate different insights into the potential distribution and biology of the target organism and may be appropriate in different situations. The choice of model is likely to be influenced by the aims of the study, the biology of the target organism, the level of knowledge the target organism’s biology, and data quality.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2003
- Authors: Robertson, Mark P , Peter, Craig I , Villet, Martin H , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2003
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6539 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1005980 , http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3800(03)00028-0
- Description: Models used to predict species’ potential distributions have been described as either correlative or mechanistic. We attempted to determine whether correlative models could perform as well as mechanistic models for predicting species potential distributions, using a case study. We compared potential distribution predictions made for a coastal dune plant (Scaevola plumieri) along the coast of South Africa, using a mechanistic model based on summer water balance (SWB), and two correlative models (a profile and a group discrimination technique). The profile technique was based on principal components analysis (PCA) and the group-discrimination technique was based on multiple logistic regression (LR). Kappa (κ) statistics were used to objectively assess model performance and model agreement. Model performance was calculated by measuring the levels of agreement (using κ) between a set of testing localities (distribution records not used for model building) and each of the model predictions. Using published interpretive guidelines for the kappa statistic, model performance was “excellent” for the SWB model (κ=0.852), perfect for the LR model (κ=1.000), and “very good” for the PCA model (κ=0.721). Model agreement was calculated by measuring the level of agreement between the mechanistic model and the two correlative models. There was “good” model agreement between the SWB and PCA models (κ=0.679) and “very good” agreement between the SWB and LR models (κ=0.786). The results suggest that correlative models can perform as well as or better than simple mechanistic models. The predictions generated from these three modelling designs are likely to generate different insights into the potential distribution and biology of the target organism and may be appropriate in different situations. The choice of model is likely to be influenced by the aims of the study, the biology of the target organism, the level of knowledge the target organism’s biology, and data quality.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2003
Environmental limits to the distribution of Scaevola plumieri along the South African coast
- Peter, Craig I, Ripley, Bradford S, Robertson, Mark P
- Authors: Peter, Craig I , Ripley, Bradford S , Robertson, Mark P
- Date: 2003
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6872 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1011617
- Description: Scaevola plumieri is an important pioneer on many tropical and subtropical sand dunes, forming a large perennial subterranean plant with only the tips of the branches emerging above accreting sand. In South Africa it is the dominant pioneer on sandy beaches along the east coast, less abundant on the south coast and absent from the southwest and west coasts. Transpiration rates (E) of S. plumieri are predictably related to atmospheric vapour pressure deficit under a wide range of conditions and can therefore be predicted from measurement of ambient temperature and relative humidity. Scaling measurements of E at the leaf level to the canopy level has been demonstrated previously. Using a geographic information system, digital maps of regional climatic variables were used to calculate digital maps of potential transpiration from mean monthly temperature and relative humidity values, effectively scaling canopy level transpiration rates to a regional level. Monthly potential transpiration was subtracted from the monthly median rainfall to produce a map of mean monthly water balance. Seasonal growth was correlated with seasonal water balance. Localities along the coast with water deficits in summer corresponded with the recorded absence of S. plumieri, which grows and reproduces most actively in the summer months. This suggests that reduced water availability during the summer growth period limits the distribution of S. plumieri along the southwest coast, where water deficits develop in summer. Temperature is also important in limiting the distribution of S. plumieri on the southwest coast of South Africa through its effects on the growth and phenology of the plant.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2003
- Authors: Peter, Craig I , Ripley, Bradford S , Robertson, Mark P
- Date: 2003
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6872 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1011617
- Description: Scaevola plumieri is an important pioneer on many tropical and subtropical sand dunes, forming a large perennial subterranean plant with only the tips of the branches emerging above accreting sand. In South Africa it is the dominant pioneer on sandy beaches along the east coast, less abundant on the south coast and absent from the southwest and west coasts. Transpiration rates (E) of S. plumieri are predictably related to atmospheric vapour pressure deficit under a wide range of conditions and can therefore be predicted from measurement of ambient temperature and relative humidity. Scaling measurements of E at the leaf level to the canopy level has been demonstrated previously. Using a geographic information system, digital maps of regional climatic variables were used to calculate digital maps of potential transpiration from mean monthly temperature and relative humidity values, effectively scaling canopy level transpiration rates to a regional level. Monthly potential transpiration was subtracted from the monthly median rainfall to produce a map of mean monthly water balance. Seasonal growth was correlated with seasonal water balance. Localities along the coast with water deficits in summer corresponded with the recorded absence of S. plumieri, which grows and reproduces most actively in the summer months. This suggests that reduced water availability during the summer growth period limits the distribution of S. plumieri along the southwest coast, where water deficits develop in summer. Temperature is also important in limiting the distribution of S. plumieri on the southwest coast of South Africa through its effects on the growth and phenology of the plant.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2003
An empirical formula for estimating the water use of Scaevola plumieri
- Peter, Craig I, Ripley, Bradford S
- Authors: Peter, Craig I , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2000
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6530 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1005971
- Description: Transpirational water loss of Scaevola plumieri (L) Vahl. (= Scaevola thunbergii Eckl. & Zeyh.) (Goodeniaceae), a dune pioneer plant along the eastern and southern coasts of South Africa, was measured over a wide range of atmospheric conditions and related to the atmospheric vapour pressure deficit (VPD). A plot of leaf transpiration rate (E) against VPD yielded a curvilinear relationship (r[sup 2] = 0.88, P = 0.000). As both leaf and canopy E were found to be closely coupled to atmospheric conditions, this correlation was used to calculate canopy E for entire days. The bulk volumes of water transpired per day were related to the mean daily temperature as recorded at a nearby weather station and were strongly related (r2 = 0.71, P = 0.0037). This correlation allowed the bulk volume of water transpired by one square metre of a S. plumieri-covered dune to be calculated on a daily basis for an entire year. Transpirational losses (566 litres) in 1997 were then compared with rainfall (539 litres), indicating that rainfall was perhaps insufficient to support the plants that year. Similar deficits were calculated for 1996, suggesting that plants were possibly reliant on water stored in the sand or taped ground water. This species showed an unusual positive response of increasing leaf conductance to increasing VPD over the range 0-3 kPa.
- Full Text: false
- Date Issued: 2000
- Authors: Peter, Craig I , Ripley, Bradford S
- Date: 2000
- Language: English
- Type: Article
- Identifier: vital:6530 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1005971
- Description: Transpirational water loss of Scaevola plumieri (L) Vahl. (= Scaevola thunbergii Eckl. & Zeyh.) (Goodeniaceae), a dune pioneer plant along the eastern and southern coasts of South Africa, was measured over a wide range of atmospheric conditions and related to the atmospheric vapour pressure deficit (VPD). A plot of leaf transpiration rate (E) against VPD yielded a curvilinear relationship (r[sup 2] = 0.88, P = 0.000). As both leaf and canopy E were found to be closely coupled to atmospheric conditions, this correlation was used to calculate canopy E for entire days. The bulk volumes of water transpired per day were related to the mean daily temperature as recorded at a nearby weather station and were strongly related (r2 = 0.71, P = 0.0037). This correlation allowed the bulk volume of water transpired by one square metre of a S. plumieri-covered dune to be calculated on a daily basis for an entire year. Transpirational losses (566 litres) in 1997 were then compared with rainfall (539 litres), indicating that rainfall was perhaps insufficient to support the plants that year. Similar deficits were calculated for 1996, suggesting that plants were possibly reliant on water stored in the sand or taped ground water. This species showed an unusual positive response of increasing leaf conductance to increasing VPD over the range 0-3 kPa.
- Full Text: false
- Date Issued: 2000
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