Fiscal policy and unemployment in South Africa 1980 to 2010
- Authors: Murwirapachena, Genius
- Date: 2011
- Subjects: Fiscal policy -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa , Labor economics -- South Africa , Unemployment -- South Africa , Labor policy -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11458 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/544 , Fiscal policy -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa , Labor economics -- South Africa , Unemployment -- South Africa , Labor policy -- South Africa
- Description: Unemployment is one of the greatest and most complex challenges facing South Africa. Just like most developing countries, South Africa has been using the fiscal policy framework as a tool to alleviate the high rates of unemployment. This study examined the impact of fiscal policy on unemployment in South Africa. The study used annual time series data for the period 1980 to 2010. A vector error correction model was used to determine the effects of fiscal policy aggregates on unemployment in South Africa. The fiscal policy aggregates considered in this study were government investment expenditure, government consumption expenditure and tax. Results from this study revealed that government consumption expenditure and tax have a positive impact on unemployment while government investment expenditure negatively affects unemployment in South Africa. Policy recommendations were made using these results.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Murwirapachena, Genius
- Date: 2011
- Subjects: Fiscal policy -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa , Labor economics -- South Africa , Unemployment -- South Africa , Labor policy -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11458 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/544 , Fiscal policy -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa , Labor economics -- South Africa , Unemployment -- South Africa , Labor policy -- South Africa
- Description: Unemployment is one of the greatest and most complex challenges facing South Africa. Just like most developing countries, South Africa has been using the fiscal policy framework as a tool to alleviate the high rates of unemployment. This study examined the impact of fiscal policy on unemployment in South Africa. The study used annual time series data for the period 1980 to 2010. A vector error correction model was used to determine the effects of fiscal policy aggregates on unemployment in South Africa. The fiscal policy aggregates considered in this study were government investment expenditure, government consumption expenditure and tax. Results from this study revealed that government consumption expenditure and tax have a positive impact on unemployment while government investment expenditure negatively affects unemployment in South Africa. Policy recommendations were made using these results.
- Full Text:
An investigation of the informational efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange with respect to monetary policy (2000-2009)
- Authors: Samkange, Edgar
- Date: 2010
- Subjects: Holding companies -- South Africa , Stock exchanges -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa -- History
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11456 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/324 , Holding companies -- South Africa , Stock exchanges -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa -- History
- Description: This study aims to investigate the informational efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange with respect to monetary policy. Multivariate co-integration, Granger causality, vector error correction model, impulse response function analysis and variance decomposition analysis are employed to determine the semi-strong form efficiency in South African equity market. Monthly data of Johannesburg Stock Exchange index, money supply (M1 & M2), short term interest rate, inflation, rand/dollar exchange rate, London Stock Exchange index (FSTE100) and GDP from 2000-2009 are the variables of interest.Weak form efficiency is examined using unit root tests. The results of this study show evidence of weak form efficiency of the JSE using the Augmented-Dickey Fuller and Philip-Perron unit root tests. The results reject the hypothesis that the JSE is semi-strong and have important implications for government policy, regulatory authorities and participants in the South African stock market.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Samkange, Edgar
- Date: 2010
- Subjects: Holding companies -- South Africa , Stock exchanges -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa -- History
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11456 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/324 , Holding companies -- South Africa , Stock exchanges -- South Africa , Monetary policy -- South Africa -- History
- Description: This study aims to investigate the informational efficiency of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange with respect to monetary policy. Multivariate co-integration, Granger causality, vector error correction model, impulse response function analysis and variance decomposition analysis are employed to determine the semi-strong form efficiency in South African equity market. Monthly data of Johannesburg Stock Exchange index, money supply (M1 & M2), short term interest rate, inflation, rand/dollar exchange rate, London Stock Exchange index (FSTE100) and GDP from 2000-2009 are the variables of interest.Weak form efficiency is examined using unit root tests. The results of this study show evidence of weak form efficiency of the JSE using the Augmented-Dickey Fuller and Philip-Perron unit root tests. The results reject the hypothesis that the JSE is semi-strong and have important implications for government policy, regulatory authorities and participants in the South African stock market.
- Full Text:
The global financial crisis and its impact on the South African economy
- Authors: Madubeko, Vongai
- Date: 2010
- Subjects: Globalization -- Economic aspects , Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , South Africa -- Economic conditions
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11457 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/363 , Globalization -- Economic aspects , Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , South Africa -- Economic conditions
- Description: This dissertation investigates the effects of the financial crisis on the South African economy. In order to do this, an index which describes the financial conditions of the South African economy is constructed and computed. The index indicates that domestic South African financial conditions have deteriorated substantially during the period under study and so the study investigates how this has impacted on the country’s economic growth. A VAR model with South African variables is specified and used to assess the quantitative effects of the financial crisis on South African real GDP growth. Results suggest that the South African economy was not significantly affected by the crisis, but economic growth was slowed down and may still grow substantially slower in the next few years due to the financial crisis. These results corroborate the theoretical predictions and are also supported by previous studies.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Madubeko, Vongai
- Date: 2010
- Subjects: Globalization -- Economic aspects , Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , South Africa -- Economic conditions
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11457 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/363 , Globalization -- Economic aspects , Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , South Africa -- Economic conditions
- Description: This dissertation investigates the effects of the financial crisis on the South African economy. In order to do this, an index which describes the financial conditions of the South African economy is constructed and computed. The index indicates that domestic South African financial conditions have deteriorated substantially during the period under study and so the study investigates how this has impacted on the country’s economic growth. A VAR model with South African variables is specified and used to assess the quantitative effects of the financial crisis on South African real GDP growth. Results suggest that the South African economy was not significantly affected by the crisis, but economic growth was slowed down and may still grow substantially slower in the next few years due to the financial crisis. These results corroborate the theoretical predictions and are also supported by previous studies.
- Full Text:
Monetary policy, inflation, unemployment and the Phillips curve in South Africa
- Authors: Chicheke, Aaron
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Monetary policy , Inflation (Finance) , Economic policy -- Mathematical models , Unemployment -- South Africa , Phillips curve
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11453 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/d1001202 , Monetary policy , Inflation (Finance) , Economic policy -- Mathematical models , Unemployment -- South Africa , Phillips curve
- Description: Inflation and unemployment are perhaps the two most important challenges that face the South African economy of today. Firstly, the study examines the relationship between monetary policy and the two economic fundamentals (inflation and unemployment), using the VEC modeling technique. The model regresses the monetary policy variable against inflation and unemployment growth over the period 1980-2008. The results suggest that (1) there is a long run relationship between inflation and unemployment (2) monetary policy reacts more to variations in inflation compared to variations in unemployment. Secondly, the relationship between inflation and unemployment as explained by the Phillips curve is investigated. The results show that there is a positive relationship between inflation and unemployment.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Chicheke, Aaron
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Monetary policy , Inflation (Finance) , Economic policy -- Mathematical models , Unemployment -- South Africa , Phillips curve
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11453 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/d1001202 , Monetary policy , Inflation (Finance) , Economic policy -- Mathematical models , Unemployment -- South Africa , Phillips curve
- Description: Inflation and unemployment are perhaps the two most important challenges that face the South African economy of today. Firstly, the study examines the relationship between monetary policy and the two economic fundamentals (inflation and unemployment), using the VEC modeling technique. The model regresses the monetary policy variable against inflation and unemployment growth over the period 1980-2008. The results suggest that (1) there is a long run relationship between inflation and unemployment (2) monetary policy reacts more to variations in inflation compared to variations in unemployment. Secondly, the relationship between inflation and unemployment as explained by the Phillips curve is investigated. The results show that there is a positive relationship between inflation and unemployment.
- Full Text:
Profit incentives and technical efficiency in the provision of health care in Zimbabwe: an application of data envelopment analysis and econometric methods
- Authors: Maredza, Andrew
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Economic conditions , Health facilities -- Zimbabwe , Data envelopment analysis , Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Econometric models , Stock-flow analysis , Profit -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11455 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/294 , Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Economic conditions , Health facilities -- Zimbabwe , Data envelopment analysis , Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Econometric models , Stock-flow analysis , Profit -- Mathematical models
- Description: This study examines issues surrounding efficiency in the Zimbabwean health sector with specific emphasis on for-profit hospitals in order to find out whether they are significantly more efficient than non-profit hospitals. The study attempts to explore the significance of profit incentives on efficiency. This study uses the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methodology to examine hospital efficiency scores for the 100 hospitals in the sample classified as for-profit, mission and public. Outputs of the study include inpatient days and outpatient visits. The number of beds, doctors and nurses were used to capture hospital inputs. The findings indicated that there was a marked deviation of efficiency scores from the best practice frontier with for-profit hospitals having the highest mean PTE of 71.1 percent. The mean PTE scores for mission and public hospitals were 64.8 percent and 62.6 percent respectively. About 85 percent, 83 percent and 91 percent of the for-profit, mission and public hospitals were found to be operating below their average PTE. More than half of the hospitals are being run inefficiently. Of more importance to this study is the fact that the hypothesis of for-profit hospital superiority was accepted implying that for profit hospitals are significantly more efficient than the non-profit category. The study indicated that the amount of inputs being used could be decreased substantially without decreasing the quantity of outputs achieved. In each of the hospitals included in the study, the total input reductions needed to make inefficient hospitals efficient are more than 50 percent. These input savings could go a long way in achieving other health concerns without mobilizing additional resources in the sector
- Full Text:
- Authors: Maredza, Andrew
- Date: 2009
- Subjects: Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Economic conditions , Health facilities -- Zimbabwe , Data envelopment analysis , Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Econometric models , Stock-flow analysis , Profit -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11455 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/294 , Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Economic conditions , Health facilities -- Zimbabwe , Data envelopment analysis , Hospitals -- Zimbabwe -- Econometric models , Stock-flow analysis , Profit -- Mathematical models
- Description: This study examines issues surrounding efficiency in the Zimbabwean health sector with specific emphasis on for-profit hospitals in order to find out whether they are significantly more efficient than non-profit hospitals. The study attempts to explore the significance of profit incentives on efficiency. This study uses the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) methodology to examine hospital efficiency scores for the 100 hospitals in the sample classified as for-profit, mission and public. Outputs of the study include inpatient days and outpatient visits. The number of beds, doctors and nurses were used to capture hospital inputs. The findings indicated that there was a marked deviation of efficiency scores from the best practice frontier with for-profit hospitals having the highest mean PTE of 71.1 percent. The mean PTE scores for mission and public hospitals were 64.8 percent and 62.6 percent respectively. About 85 percent, 83 percent and 91 percent of the for-profit, mission and public hospitals were found to be operating below their average PTE. More than half of the hospitals are being run inefficiently. Of more importance to this study is the fact that the hypothesis of for-profit hospital superiority was accepted implying that for profit hospitals are significantly more efficient than the non-profit category. The study indicated that the amount of inputs being used could be decreased substantially without decreasing the quantity of outputs achieved. In each of the hospitals included in the study, the total input reductions needed to make inefficient hospitals efficient are more than 50 percent. These input savings could go a long way in achieving other health concerns without mobilizing additional resources in the sector
- Full Text:
An empirical analysis of the determinants and growth of South African exports
- Authors: Choga, Ireen
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Exports -- South Africa -- History , Export marketing -- South Africa , International trade -- South Africa , Exports -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11452 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/198 , Exports -- South Africa -- History , Export marketing -- South Africa , International trade -- South Africa , Exports -- South Africa
- Description: Exports have considerable effects on economic growth, employment and trade so it is crucial to understand the factors that are responsible for their variation. This study analyses the fundamental determinants of exports using annual South African data covering the period 1980 to 2006. It initially provides an overview of the South African export structure and export growth. A review of theoretical determinants is then specified. The study tests for stationarity and cointegration using the Johansen (1991, 1995) methodology. A vector error correction model is run to provide robust determinant variables on exports. The following variables which have been found to have a long run relationship with exports include: the domestic price of exports, real effective exchange rate, trade openness, foreign income and price of inputs (cost of production). The estimate of the speed of adjustment coefficient found in this study indicates that about 96% of the variation in exports from its equilibrium level is corrected within one year. The results that have emerged from this analysis corroborate the theoretical predictions and are also supported by previous researchers or studies.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Choga, Ireen
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Exports -- South Africa -- History , Export marketing -- South Africa , International trade -- South Africa , Exports -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11452 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/198 , Exports -- South Africa -- History , Export marketing -- South Africa , International trade -- South Africa , Exports -- South Africa
- Description: Exports have considerable effects on economic growth, employment and trade so it is crucial to understand the factors that are responsible for their variation. This study analyses the fundamental determinants of exports using annual South African data covering the period 1980 to 2006. It initially provides an overview of the South African export structure and export growth. A review of theoretical determinants is then specified. The study tests for stationarity and cointegration using the Johansen (1991, 1995) methodology. A vector error correction model is run to provide robust determinant variables on exports. The following variables which have been found to have a long run relationship with exports include: the domestic price of exports, real effective exchange rate, trade openness, foreign income and price of inputs (cost of production). The estimate of the speed of adjustment coefficient found in this study indicates that about 96% of the variation in exports from its equilibrium level is corrected within one year. The results that have emerged from this analysis corroborate the theoretical predictions and are also supported by previous researchers or studies.
- Full Text:
The efficiency of a fiscally decentralized government in the provision of social services: the case of the Eastern Cape provincial government in South Africa
- Mahuni, Fortunate Jaqueline Runyararo
- Authors: Mahuni, Fortunate Jaqueline Runyararo
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Public welfare -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Social service -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11454 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/209 , Public welfare -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Social service -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Description: Governments strive to improve the efficiency of service delivery with the intention of achieving societal goals. Thus, in order to ensure the quality of public services and goods provided to the people, central governments need to follow a decentralised governance approach. The decentralisation theorem states that, if the consumption of public goods and services over different geographical regions of the total population and the cost of providing these public goods and services in each region are the same for both the central and the sub-national government, the provision of public goods and services will be more efficient if they are provided by the sub-national government to their respective jurisdictions. This dissertation’s main aim is to investigate the extent to which the Eastern Cape Provincial Government (ECPG) is efficient in the provision of social services to the people under their jurisdiction. The efficiency scores obtained using the Data Envelopment Analysis Computer Program (DEAP) 2.1 version proved that the ECPG, education, health, social welfare and the housing departments are inefficient in the provision of social services. In this case, fiscal decentralisation as an appropriate vehicle for service delivery seems not to be working for the Eastern Cape Province, unless there is an improvement in the efficiency levels at which the social services are provided by these departments.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Mahuni, Fortunate Jaqueline Runyararo
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Public welfare -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Social service -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11454 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/209 , Public welfare -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape , Social service -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape
- Description: Governments strive to improve the efficiency of service delivery with the intention of achieving societal goals. Thus, in order to ensure the quality of public services and goods provided to the people, central governments need to follow a decentralised governance approach. The decentralisation theorem states that, if the consumption of public goods and services over different geographical regions of the total population and the cost of providing these public goods and services in each region are the same for both the central and the sub-national government, the provision of public goods and services will be more efficient if they are provided by the sub-national government to their respective jurisdictions. This dissertation’s main aim is to investigate the extent to which the Eastern Cape Provincial Government (ECPG) is efficient in the provision of social services to the people under their jurisdiction. The efficiency scores obtained using the Data Envelopment Analysis Computer Program (DEAP) 2.1 version proved that the ECPG, education, health, social welfare and the housing departments are inefficient in the provision of social services. In this case, fiscal decentralisation as an appropriate vehicle for service delivery seems not to be working for the Eastern Cape Province, unless there is an improvement in the efficiency levels at which the social services are provided by these departments.
- Full Text:
The impact of immigration on the labour market: evidence from South Africa
- Authors: Sibanda, Nomazulu
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Immigrants -- South Africa , Labor -- South Africa , Labor costs -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11451 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/207 , Immigrants -- South Africa , Labor -- South Africa , Labor costs -- South Africa
- Description: The impact of immigrants on the labour market in the South African context has always been a long standing issue with both government and natives’ fearing for the latter’s displacement effect, pressure on wages and resources. Migrants are blamed for poor labour market conditions of a host country. Literature reviewed from Africa and elsewhere shows that migrants have negative outcomes on the host country’s labour market. For this study an Error Correction Model on time series data from 1980-2006 has been estimated. The study estimated two models that is the unemployment and the wages models. The variables used for estimation are immigration, inflation and the Gross Domestic Product. The study surprisingly found a positive impact of immigrants on wages but the effect on employment was negative and significant. It is important to note here that the calculated impact is only for the documented immigrants the impact the illegal ones is not known.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Sibanda, Nomazulu
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: Immigrants -- South Africa , Labor -- South Africa , Labor costs -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , M Com
- Identifier: vital:11451 , http://hdl.handle.net/10353/207 , Immigrants -- South Africa , Labor -- South Africa , Labor costs -- South Africa
- Description: The impact of immigrants on the labour market in the South African context has always been a long standing issue with both government and natives’ fearing for the latter’s displacement effect, pressure on wages and resources. Migrants are blamed for poor labour market conditions of a host country. Literature reviewed from Africa and elsewhere shows that migrants have negative outcomes on the host country’s labour market. For this study an Error Correction Model on time series data from 1980-2006 has been estimated. The study estimated two models that is the unemployment and the wages models. The variables used for estimation are immigration, inflation and the Gross Domestic Product. The study surprisingly found a positive impact of immigrants on wages but the effect on employment was negative and significant. It is important to note here that the calculated impact is only for the documented immigrants the impact the illegal ones is not known.
- Full Text: